Idlelast heartbeat 6h ago · 7 symbols

Paper account

$84,868.90

-$14,599.54 (-14.68%) Since 2026-07-06

Cash plus the current value of open positions.

2026-07-06 — 2026-10-15 ETUpdated 6h ago

Recorded broker equity, including open-position gains and losses, fees, and cash changes. The chart keeps the first point and each day’s last recorded balance.

P&L by exit date

Last 30 days · gains and losses from closed positions, on the day they exited (ET).

-$8,762.00

Booked lifecycle P&L

-$2,690.00

Realized gains and losses from completed position lifecycles.

Broker daily P&L

-$2,691.44

Account equity minus the prior close, including open positions.

Difference

-$1.44

Broker minus booked. Open positions, fees, and day boundaries can create gaps.

Daily observations, not account balances. Solid is booked lifecycle P&L; dashed is broker daily P&L. Hover for each recorded difference.

Today's positions

0 open · 6 closed

Tap a position for its trade history.

Closed today

Last session · updated 6h ago

Stock experiments

Paper eligible

AAPL · MSFT · GOOG · TSLA

Paper entries eligible from 2026-10-05 ET.

AAPL MRSkipped
2026-10-02 ET
View decision
The trade plan meets the required 1.5 risk/reward. However, the premarket/news context is directionally bullish (Cramer urging buying ahead of the foldable iPhone launch), which increases the probability that an MR short could be overridden by event-driven upside. Additionally, ATR percentile is low (13.3%), implying relatively limited room for follow-through in the intended direction; in low-volatility conditions MR-style shorts can be more prone to stop-outs from normal noise. HTF bias is mixed rather than clearly bearish, so it does not sufficiently counterbalance the bullish catalyst risk.
Model: rejected · 52% confidence
TSLA TCSkipped
2026-10-02 ET
View decision
While the planned risk/reward meets the 1.5 requirement, the higher-timeframe bias is listed as mixed, which is not strong enough for a TC (long) continuation entry that requires bullish alignment. Additionally, the news flow includes regulatory pressure on robotaxis that can create downside gaps/volatility, increasing event risk. Finally, the ML daily bias model failed to load, reducing confirmatory signal quality (though we can still trade using technical/news context).
Model: rejected · 47% confidence
TSLA TCSkipped
2026-10-02 ET
View decision
The plan has acceptable risk/reward (1.5), but the higher-timeframe bias condition is not satisfied: HTF is labeled 'mixed' rather than clearly bullish for a trend-continuation (TC long) entry. With mixed HTF, the trade can fail to follow through despite the favorable RR. Additionally, the ML daily-bias model is unavailable (data-quality degradation), increasing uncertainty, so the setup is not strong enough to override the HTF misalignment.
Model: rejected · 62% confidence
TSLA TCSkipped
2026-10-02 ET
View decision
The trade meets the planned risk/reward (TP/SL distance gives ~1.50). However, the ATR percentile is very low (1.7%), implying unusually compressed volatility; in that environment, even small adverse moves can more easily tag the tight stop versus reaching the modest take-profit distance. Additionally, HTF bias is reported as mixed (not clearly bullish), so the setup lacks strong higher-timeframe tailwind. News flow is mixed as well (deliveries/production data is one positive datapoint, but there’s also regulatory/robotaxis headline risk), which increases the chance that price mean-reverts or whips around without clean follow-through.
Model: rejected · 58% confidence
TSLA TCSkipped
2026-10-02 ET
View decision
Although the trade’s nominal risk/reward meets the plan (TP/SL distance ≈ 1.50), the higher-timeframe bias is reported as mixed, which weakens the trend-continuation assumption for a long entry. Additionally, the ML daily bias model failed to load, so there is reduced informational backing beyond the provided technical/news context.
Model: rejected · 55% confidence
TSLA TCSkipped
2026-10-02 ET
View decision
Although the setup’s planned risk/reward meets the threshold (1.50), the higher-timeframe context is only 'mixed' rather than clearly bullish for a TC (long) continuation entry. Additionally, the ML daily bias data is unavailable (model load failure), reducing signal quality/reliance on untrained inputs. Given these gating uncertainties, the trade is not sufficiently supported to execute.
Model: rejected · 56% confidence
TSLA TCSkipped
2026-10-02 ET
View decision
Although the trade plan meets the minimum risk/reward (1.50), the higher-timeframe bias is marked as mixed, which weakens the case for a continuation-style long. Additionally, the premarket ML daily-bias input failed to load (data-quality warning), reducing confirmation from the intended bias model. The z-score (2.46) and low ATR percentile (1.7%) suggest price is stretched relative to typical behavior while volatility is relatively compressed, increasing the chance the move is mean-reverting before reaching the take-profit.
Model: rejected · 56% confidence
TSLA TCSkipped
2026-10-02 ET
View decision
While the planned reward-to-risk meets the 1.50 requirement, the higher-timeframe bias is only 'mixed' rather than clearly bullish, which violates the trend-continuation alignment requirement. Additionally, the very low ATR percentile (1.7%) suggests limited average movement in the recent window, increasing the chance the move stalls before reaching the take-profit. News is delivery-related and can still introduce event-driven volatility, which adds uncertainty around continuation behavior.
Model: rejected · 63% confidence

Previews sync after each session. They use real quotes and account checks, without placing orders or simulating fills. These stocks use news and technical signals while ML bias is unavailable.

Decision ledger

2026-10-15

15:24AAPLMRTaken63%
MR (long) has a clean planned risk/reward (target/stop distance meets the 1.5 requirement). The current z-score (-0.58) suggests price is not at an extreme premium, which is consistent with a mean-reversion attempt. Volatility is moderate (ATR percentile 28.3%), reducing the odds of stop-outs purely from noise, while HTF bias is mixed (not a clear directional veto). Premarket headlines appear supportive (China AI approval/debut expectations), which can help follow-through toward the take-profit. The only notable concern is ML daily-bias data quality (model load failure), but this is a warn-level issue and the decision can rely on the provided technical/news context.View full reasoningHide reasoning
MR (long) has a clean planned risk/reward (target/stop distance meets the 1.5 requirement). The current z-score (-0.58) suggests price is not at an extreme premium, which is consistent with a mean-reversion attempt. Volatility is moderate (ATR percentile 28.3%), reducing the odds of stop-outs purely from noise, while HTF bias is mixed (not a clear directional veto). Premarket headlines appear supportive (China AI approval/debut expectations), which can help follow-through toward the take-profit. The only notable concern is ML daily-bias data quality (model load failure), but this is a warn-level issue and the decision can rely on the provided technical/news context.
15:03TSLAMRVetoed62%
While the setup’s risk/reward is exactly on target (≈1.50) and the current z-score (-0.52) suggests price is not stretched to the upside, the news/premarket context is not supportive for a fresh long. GLJ Research reiterates a sell, and the feed highlights heightened near-term catalyst risk (Q3 earnings referenced ahead). With earnings/event risk elevated, the stop distance may not protect against gap risk and volatility expansion, making the MR long less attractive despite acceptable RR.View full reasoningHide reasoning
While the setup’s risk/reward is exactly on target (≈1.50) and the current z-score (-0.52) suggests price is not stretched to the upside, the news/premarket context is not supportive for a fresh long. GLJ Research reiterates a sell, and the feed highlights heightened near-term catalyst risk (Q3 earnings referenced ahead). With earnings/event risk elevated, the stop distance may not protect against gap risk and volatility expansion, making the MR long less attractive despite acceptable RR.
14:19TSLATCTaken62%
The TC (short) plan meets the exact required risk/reward (target/stop distance ≈ 1.5). Technical context shows negative z-score (-1.78), supporting downside mean-reversion/pressure. Higher-timeframe bias is mixed rather than clearly bullish, so there is no strong HTF opposition. Premarket ML daily-bias data is unavailable (data_quality warning), so conviction is reduced, but the trade can still be justified by the technical trigger and supportive sell-focused news sentiment.View full reasoningHide reasoning
The TC (short) plan meets the exact required risk/reward (target/stop distance ≈ 1.5). Technical context shows negative z-score (-1.78), supporting downside mean-reversion/pressure. Higher-timeframe bias is mixed rather than clearly bullish, so there is no strong HTF opposition. Premarket ML daily-bias data is unavailable (data_quality warning), so conviction is reduced, but the trade can still be justified by the technical trigger and supportive sell-focused news sentiment.
14:16TSLATCVetoed58%
The trade meets the quantitative risk/reward requirement (RR ≈ 1.5) and the higher-timeframe context is not clearly opposing (HTF bias is mixed, not bullish). However, the news context explicitly points to elevated near-term event risk (TSLA Q3 earnings is upcoming), which can invalidate stop/target levels via gap risk and volatility expansion. With ATR percentile low (~13.3%), the setup may also be more vulnerable to being overtaken by event-driven moves. Given the event-driven uncertainty, this short TC trigger should be withheld for now.View full reasoningHide reasoning
The trade meets the quantitative risk/reward requirement (RR ≈ 1.5) and the higher-timeframe context is not clearly opposing (HTF bias is mixed, not bullish). However, the news context explicitly points to elevated near-term event risk (TSLA Q3 earnings is upcoming), which can invalidate stop/target levels via gap risk and volatility expansion. With ATR percentile low (~13.3%), the setup may also be more vulnerable to being overtaken by event-driven moves. Given the event-driven uncertainty, this short TC trigger should be withheld for now.
14:13TSLATCVetoed58%
The short setup has acceptable planned risk/reward (exactly 1.5) and the current technical state is bearish (z-score -2.09 suggests an unfavorable deviation for longs). However, the news flow explicitly references catalysts ahead of TSLA’s Q3 earnings, which materially increases gap/volatility risk against a tight intraday-style stop, making the trade’s realized expectancy less reliable.View full reasoningHide reasoning
The short setup has acceptable planned risk/reward (exactly 1.5) and the current technical state is bearish (z-score -2.09 suggests an unfavorable deviation for longs). However, the news flow explicitly references catalysts ahead of TSLA’s Q3 earnings, which materially increases gap/volatility risk against a tight intraday-style stop, making the trade’s realized expectancy less reliable.
12:42TSLATCTaken58%
The short TC setup has a clean, pre-defined risk/reward (target/stop ≈ 1.5), and technical context is supportive: TSLA is currently at a notably negative z-score (-2.11), which aligns with downside continuation. HTF bias is mixed rather than clearly bearish, which limits conviction, but it does not outright oppose the short premise. Premarket ML daily bias is unavailable (model_load_failed), so confidence is reduced; however, the news flow (sell reiteration from GLJ Research) and the technical trigger provide sufficient non-ML context to proceed.View full reasoningHide reasoning
The short TC setup has a clean, pre-defined risk/reward (target/stop ≈ 1.5), and technical context is supportive: TSLA is currently at a notably negative z-score (-2.11), which aligns with downside continuation. HTF bias is mixed rather than clearly bearish, which limits conviction, but it does not outright oppose the short premise. Premarket ML daily bias is unavailable (model_load_failed), so confidence is reduced; however, the news flow (sell reiteration from GLJ Research) and the technical trigger provide sufficient non-ML context to proceed.
12:39TSLATCVetoed57%
While the trade setup meets the required 1.5x risk/reward and the HTF alignment gate is not blocking, the broader context raises a serious timing risk: the news stream explicitly references upcoming Q3 earnings, and earnings can override technical triggers (gap risk and volatility expansion). Additionally, TSLA is already at a relatively stretched state on the z-score (-2.26), which increases the odds of a snapback counter-move against a short position—especially since the ATR percentile is low (13.3%), implying limited cushion for abrupt volatility spikes. Finally, the ML daily bias model is unavailable (data-quality warning), so there’s less cross-validation for the directional thesis.View full reasoningHide reasoning
While the trade setup meets the required 1.5x risk/reward and the HTF alignment gate is not blocking, the broader context raises a serious timing risk: the news stream explicitly references upcoming Q3 earnings, and earnings can override technical triggers (gap risk and volatility expansion). Additionally, TSLA is already at a relatively stretched state on the z-score (-2.26), which increases the odds of a snapback counter-move against a short position—especially since the ATR percentile is low (13.3%), implying limited cushion for abrupt volatility spikes. Finally, the ML daily bias model is unavailable (data-quality warning), so there’s less cross-validation for the directional thesis.
12:36TSLATCVetoed45%
While the plan’s risk/reward matches the required 1.5, the current technical snapshot is relatively unfavorable for a fresh short: the z-score is -2.21 (already statistically stretched/possibly oversold), which increases mean-reversion risk against a continuation short. Additionally, the news context flags near-term catalyst/earnings-related attention (Q3 earnings mentioned), which raises event risk and can invalidate tight technical shorts. HTF bias is mixed rather than clearly bearish, so the setup lacks strong trend confirmation.View full reasoningHide reasoning
While the plan’s risk/reward matches the required 1.5, the current technical snapshot is relatively unfavorable for a fresh short: the z-score is -2.21 (already statistically stretched/possibly oversold), which increases mean-reversion risk against a continuation short. Additionally, the news context flags near-term catalyst/earnings-related attention (Q3 earnings mentioned), which raises event risk and can invalidate tight technical shorts. HTF bias is mixed rather than clearly bearish, so the setup lacks strong trend confirmation.

44 signals→18 approved→6 filled

Full funnel and rejection reasons →