Idlelast heartbeat 1h ago · 3 symbols

Latest completed P&L reconciliation

2026-08-31

Lifecycle P&L

+$198.00

booked realized exits

Broker MTM

+$196.95

equity − prior close

Gap

-$1.05

broker − lifecycle

Raw daily EOD observations. Solid is booked lifecycle P&L; dashed is broker mark-to-market. Straight segments connect recorded dates only; hover for the exact gap.

Broker account equity

$93,878

captured 1h ago

Opened, last entry date

on 2026-08-31

Win rate · 30d

50.0%

36 closed positions

Realized · 30d

-$2,076.00

across 17 exit days

P&L by exit date

Broker-position lifecycle P&L, grouped by the ET date each position closed.

-$2,076.00

Entry date	Opened	Closed	Win rate	Lifetime P&L	Equity
2026-08-31	2	2	50%	+$198.00	$93,878
2026-08-28	0	0	—	$0.00	$93,681
2026-08-27	1	1	0%	-$824.00	$94,900
2026-08-26	2	2	0%	-$1,948.00	$96,407
2026-08-25	0	0	—	$0.00	$96,454
2026-08-24	2	2	0%	-$406.00	$96,455
2026-08-21	2	2	100%	+$818.00	$96,862
2026-08-20	2	2	100%	+$880.00	$96,046
2026-08-19	2	2	0%	-$1,790.00	$95,168
2026-08-18	2	2	50%	-$6.00	$96,959

Today's positions

0 open · 2 closed

+$196.95

total session P&L · open + closed positions · tap a position for its trail

Closed today

Session1W / 1L

Realized lifecycle+$198.00

Broker daily P&L also includes -$1.05 outside position lifecycle P&L (fees, cash adjustments, or pending reconciliation).

Last session · updated 1h ago

Decision ledger

2026-08-31

15:25IWMMRVetoed56%
Although the plan’s risk/reward meets the required threshold (1.5), the directionality looks conflicted: the MR setup is specified as long while the premarket/validation read is bearish (LLM 60% bearish) driven by negative gap/return, price below trend on multiple horizons, and consistently negative momentum. HTF bias is mixed, not cleanly supportive for a long. Additionally, ATR percentile is very low (5%), making the stop distance extremely tight relative to typical movement, increasing the probability of being stopped out on noise. Finally, the news theme centers on a potential Fed-hike narrative break (“Friday surprise”), which raises event uncertainty right around execution timing—making the tight-stop long structurally fragile.View full reasoningHide reasoning
Although the plan’s risk/reward meets the required threshold (1.5), the directionality looks conflicted: the MR setup is specified as long while the premarket/validation read is bearish (LLM 60% bearish) driven by negative gap/return, price below trend on multiple horizons, and consistently negative momentum. HTF bias is mixed, not cleanly supportive for a long. Additionally, ATR percentile is very low (5%), making the stop distance extremely tight relative to typical movement, increasing the probability of being stopped out on noise. Finally, the news theme centers on a potential Fed-hike narrative break (“Friday surprise”), which raises event uncertainty right around execution timing—making the tight-stop long structurally fragile.
15:24SPYMRVetoed0%
Hard execution gate failed: premarket_data_qualityView full reasoningHide reasoning
Hard execution gate failed: premarket_data_quality
14:36IWMTCVetoed45%
While the trade plan meets the stated risk/reward constraint (RR=1.5) and the setup is already marked tc_triggered, the execution quality is weakened by elevated macro/event-driven reversal risk ("Friday surprise" framing for the Fed hike case) and very low ATR percentile (5%), which often reduces follow-through and increases the chance of getting stopped on noise. Additionally, premarket/micro inputs are not cleanly directional (ML says choppy; even though the LLM leans bearish, the broader tape is still consistent with a choppy distribution rather than a stable continuation leg). Net: the upside to the take-profit is not sufficiently compelling relative to the probability of whipsaw around the event window.View full reasoningHide reasoning
While the trade plan meets the stated risk/reward constraint (RR=1.5) and the setup is already marked tc_triggered, the execution quality is weakened by elevated macro/event-driven reversal risk ("Friday surprise" framing for the Fed hike case) and very low ATR percentile (5%), which often reduces follow-through and increases the chance of getting stopped on noise. Additionally, premarket/micro inputs are not cleanly directional (ML says choppy; even though the LLM leans bearish, the broader tape is still consistent with a choppy distribution rather than a stable continuation leg). Net: the upside to the take-profit is not sufficiently compelling relative to the probability of whipsaw around the event window.
14:33IWMTCTaken58%
Executing is justified because the plan meets the required 1.50 risk/reward and the immediate technical/premarket posture is directionally bearish: price is below key SMAs on both h1 and h4, momentum is consistently negative, and overnight/premarket returns align with downside. Although HTF bias is mixed and the ML prediction is choppy (neutral), the LLM validation increases bearish conviction based on more uniformly negative tape/momentum and negative premarket gap/return. Main reasons to temper execution are non-trivial event risk (macro/Fed narrative headlines) and unusually low ATR percentile (5%), which can increase sensitivity to sudden volatility spikes.View full reasoningHide reasoning
Executing is justified because the plan meets the required 1.50 risk/reward and the immediate technical/premarket posture is directionally bearish: price is below key SMAs on both h1 and h4, momentum is consistently negative, and overnight/premarket returns align with downside. Although HTF bias is mixed and the ML prediction is choppy (neutral), the LLM validation increases bearish conviction based on more uniformly negative tape/momentum and negative premarket gap/return. Main reasons to temper execution are non-trivial event risk (macro/Fed narrative headlines) and unusually low ATR percentile (5%), which can increase sensitivity to sudden volatility spikes.
14:30IWMTCVetoed58%
While the plan’s risk/reward is exactly at the required threshold (1.5) and the immediate micro/technical posture supports downside (price below SMA20 on both H1/H4, negative short-horizon momentum, negative gap/premarket returns), the broader context includes materially elevated headline/event risk: the news explicitly references a 'Friday Surprise' that could flip the Fed-hike narrative. With HTF bias labeled mixed (not clean bearish trend alignment) and ATR percentile at 5% (low-volatility regime where wicks can be unpredictable around catalysts), the downside edge is not strong enough to justify execution despite the trigger.View full reasoningHide reasoning
While the plan’s risk/reward is exactly at the required threshold (1.5) and the immediate micro/technical posture supports downside (price below SMA20 on both H1/H4, negative short-horizon momentum, negative gap/premarket returns), the broader context includes materially elevated headline/event risk: the news explicitly references a 'Friday Surprise' that could flip the Fed-hike narrative. With HTF bias labeled mixed (not clean bearish trend alignment) and ATR percentile at 5% (low-volatility regime where wicks can be unpredictable around catalysts), the downside edge is not strong enough to justify execution despite the trigger.
14:27IWMTCVetoed46%
The setup’s configured risk/reward is acceptable (1.5) and most gating criteria are marked as passing. However, the macro/news context includes a potential “Friday surprise” around the Fed/hike narrative, which materially increases gap/whipsaw risk precisely for a small-cap ETF (IWM). With ATR percentile at ~5% (relatively low recent realized volatility), the likelihood of stop-out increases if the event causes an abrupt reversal/overshoot before momentum follows through. Despite the technical micro-to-macro bearish tilt used to override the ML’s choppy read, the event-driven uncertainty is high enough to veto execution.View full reasoningHide reasoning
The setup’s configured risk/reward is acceptable (1.5) and most gating criteria are marked as passing. However, the macro/news context includes a potential “Friday surprise” around the Fed/hike narrative, which materially increases gap/whipsaw risk precisely for a small-cap ETF (IWM). With ATR percentile at ~5% (relatively low recent realized volatility), the likelihood of stop-out increases if the event causes an abrupt reversal/overshoot before momentum follows through. Despite the technical micro-to-macro bearish tilt used to override the ML’s choppy read, the event-driven uncertainty is high enough to veto execution.
14:25IWMTCVetoed58%
Although the plan meets the required 1.50 risk/reward and the immediate technical posture is bearish (z-score -2.15, price below both h1/h4 SMA20, momentum down), the trade quality is degraded by (1) very low ATR percentile (5%) which raises the odds of noise/whipsaw around tight intraday levels, and (2) elevated event risk tied to the ‘Friday surprise’ narrative around the Fed/hike case (yields/rate expectations already moving higher), which can abruptly reverse small-cap momentum. With the entry/TP/SL clustered closely, the expected edge can be overwhelmed by headline-driven volatility.View full reasoningHide reasoning
Although the plan meets the required 1.50 risk/reward and the immediate technical posture is bearish (z-score -2.15, price below both h1/h4 SMA20, momentum down), the trade quality is degraded by (1) very low ATR percentile (5%) which raises the odds of noise/whipsaw around tight intraday levels, and (2) elevated event risk tied to the ‘Friday surprise’ narrative around the Fed/hike case (yields/rate expectations already moving higher), which can abruptly reverse small-cap momentum. With the entry/TP/SL clustered closely, the expected edge can be overwhelmed by headline-driven volatility.
14:22IWMTCVetoed45%
While the trade’s geometric risk/reward matches the plan (RR=1.5) and the micro/price context is broadly negative (price below trend on both key horizons; momentum down; negative premarket return matching the overnight gap), the setup is exposed to a major event-type headline risk (“Friday Surprise” potentially shattering the Fed hike case). For IWM (rate-sensitive small caps), that kind of catalyst can rapidly invalidate a TC short by flipping the macro tape, despite the current bearish technical posture. With HTF labeled mixed and the ML/LLM inputs partially conflicting (ML says choppy; LLM shifts to bearish), the added binary headline risk is sufficient to veto execution.View full reasoningHide reasoning
While the trade’s geometric risk/reward matches the plan (RR=1.5) and the micro/price context is broadly negative (price below trend on both key horizons; momentum down; negative premarket return matching the overnight gap), the setup is exposed to a major event-type headline risk (“Friday Surprise” potentially shattering the Fed hike case). For IWM (rate-sensitive small caps), that kind of catalyst can rapidly invalidate a TC short by flipping the macro tape, despite the current bearish technical posture. With HTF labeled mixed and the ML/LLM inputs partially conflicting (ML says choppy; LLM shifts to bearish), the added binary headline risk is sufficient to veto execution.

93 signals→12 approved→2 filled

Full funnel and rejection reasons →